Chester FC Finances 26/27

To: MD

I have summarised the minutes of your meetings with Max and Brooke in one place. This is what you wanted, I think? Please let me know if I have misunderstood. (I added some external sources to show what our accountant supporters are saying!)

Joe


National League Discussions

Analysis from James Pond (Included for Context)

League Two

January Transfer Talk

March 9 budget talk with MD

External Analysis

That guy on Bluesky who pores over our accounts did a tweet thread. Might be fun to include this here!

League One Projection

OK, let’s talk about League One. This is going to be fun. Let’s assume 3% inflation. 

Last year, Brooke and MD budgeted for, and managed to keep, costs for running the club and everything except players+Max/Sandra/Brig to just under 2.0m. They brought in revenues in excess of 6m. Max dumped a bunch on transfer fees – he’s paid off everything using Foquita’s revenue – except Gabbygol from Tranmere – so the club starts the season with approximately -200k in the transfer kitty, and no outstanding debts except the 5m bond, which will be paid for by the extra revenue from the new McNally (with money leftover).

Costs

Costs are going up – they’re hosting more people per game, more hospitality costs to run (but more revenues!), more water for the bathrooms. Travel and hotel stays mostly the same – it’s the same country, same travel, same everything there. So that portion of the bill, which was around 500k including coaches (400k without) goes up by 16% + inflation, so 478k now. 

Costs of staff needs to go way up: more coaches, more paid staff, Brooke gets a pay rise, MD gets paid for the first time, there’s an accountant to help Joe, etc., etc., etc.. Let’s just wave our hands vigorously and say that’s 700k. That’s 14 full-time 50k salaries. Just picked a number.

All “run the club” expenses go up by inflation + 20% for “bigger stadium, bigger staff, bigger insurance bill). So that 2.0m which was 400k travel, 1.6m “stuff” becomes 478k travel, 1.9776m … or, rounded up, call it 2.5m. Up by 500k. 

So, call total expenses that are not players as 3.2m, up +1.2m from last year

Revenue

Ticket prices have to go up by inflation and more. 

Grindhog revenue and commercial is up. Everything is up up up. 

And the new McNally is paying the interest (400k) on the bond with 700k in extra projected revenue.

The entire club budget last season, ignoring the League Two TV+solidarity money, was originally 3.5m. We’re going to add the new ticket sales to that (+700k), and then we’re going to handwave and declare that Brooke sold sponsorships, more merch, more everything so the grand total for gate, custom, merch, commercial is on the order of 6.0m. This is a super handwave, but not excessive – it’s saying all of Brooke’s work, the expanded number of beers sold, pies sold, Grindhog starting to return profit sharing to Chester, the hospitality, the commercial revenue, everything amounts to a grand total of 1.9m for the coming year.

This should really be conservative – sponsorship alone should bring in half of this. And it has to be balanced against our big assumption above that costs are up 1.2m! If costs are up 1.2m, revenues need to be up even more. 

Note: this ignores cup runs, makes limited assumptions about extra revenues. This is JUST the league and sponsorships and the general “MD is happy with it” level of projections. 

OK, so what do we have to play with?

So Mr Conservative MD is going to look at this, and tell Max that he can have

So a sane MD budget chat is: Max, you can have 53.8k + 6.2k p/w base, full control over the 1.6m, a starting kitty of 0k, and also have control over 700k from The Relentlessness plus the cups are totally up in the air and all that revenue will be figured out, because we have no idea how deep in the cups you’ll end up going.

What does this turn into? A starting base of (I swear I didn’t design it to work out this nicely) 60.0k p/w, plus 2.3m in “Max go cray cray” money that can be divvied up however Max wants. Transfers, salaries, infrastructure you name it. NOTE: if Max uses 1.0m of this 2.3m, he gets a starting base of 80k p/w. for the entire season.  I think MD can calm down and stop ring-fencing two entire years of salary for this kind of thing – just pay for the year, even if something goes horribly wrong, we’re relegated to League Two only, and we can survive there.

And depending on the cup depth and revenue there, significantly more resources can be unlocked in January again.